Comercial vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 1
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
VEL
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
COM
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
VOT
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 2
JOS
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
VOT
20%
21%
58%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
VOT
0 - 1
BSP
69%
18%
14%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BSP
0 - 0
COM
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 3
BSP
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
BSP
0 - 1
FER
12%
18%
71%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |