Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
AQU
2 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
COM
1 - 4
COS
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 2
COM
26%
22%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 1
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
AOU
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Uniao ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
COS
2 - 0
ABC
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
AOU
2 - 1
ABC
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 2
COM
26%
22%
53%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
AQU
3 - 0
ABC
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 4
OPE
19%
21%
60%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |