Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAC
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
1 - 3
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
PIC
2 - 1
CAC
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CAC
4 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
PIC
0 - 2
FLA
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
4DE
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
FLA
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
FLA
7 - 1
CAI
73%
16%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |