Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
PIC
0 - 1
CAC
23%
23%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 2
CAC
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CAC
4 - 0
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 0
PDS
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
4DE
2 - 1
CAC
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 3
RIV
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
PDS
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 1
4DE
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |