Com.Río Nacimiento vs Las Norias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
49.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Com.Río Nacimiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ATC
2 - 1
COM
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COM
0 - 2
VIC
66%
18%
15%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDC
0 - 4
COM
35%
24%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
COM
0 - 8
CDU
12%
19%
70%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
COM
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Las Norias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LNO
0 - 2
ATC
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 2
LNO
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LNO
7 - 0
CDC
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDU
3 - 1
LNO
80%
12%
7%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
LNO
0 - 3
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | -1 |