Com.Río Nacimiento vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Com.Río Nacimiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAÑ
3 - 0
COM
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
COM
0 - 5
AHU
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
COM
3 - 3
LAM
51%
23%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDA
3 - 0
COM
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
SAN
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CDE
3 - 0
LNO
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ATC
1 - 2
CDE
14%
19%
68%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 5
CDE
11%
18%
72%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDE
10 - 0
CDC
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CDU
4 - 2
CDE
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |