Com.Río Nacimiento vs Ahumada Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Com.Río Nacimiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
COM
3 - 3
LAM
51%
23%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDA
3 - 0
COM
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
SAN
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LNO
3 - 2
COM
53%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COM
3 - 1
ATC
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ahumada Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LNO
0 - 2
AHU
24%
21%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AHU
2 - 0
ATC
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
AHU
17%
20%
64%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
AHU
2 - 0
CDC
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDU
1 - 0
AHU
52%
21%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |