Com.Río Nacimiento vs Cd Oriente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Com.Río Nacimiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COM
3 - 4
VIL
31%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COM
3 - 4
ATC
54%
21%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
COM
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
VIC
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
COM
69%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cd Oriente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
4 - 1
ATC
78%
13%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
ORI
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
3 - 0
VIC
89%
9%
3%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
ORI
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ORI
4 - 1
CUE
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |