Colorado Switchbacks vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
68.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colorado Switchbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 3
CPS
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
CPS
2 - 2
OCS
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
CPS
2 - 4
COR
23%
20%
58%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
OCS
1 - 1
CPS
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
CPS
4 - 1
ALB
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
COR
2 - 2
TUC
41%
23%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 3
TUC
20%
18%
62%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
TUC
2 - 2
ALB
78%
14%
9%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
TUC
1 - 1
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ALB
4 - 2
TUC
8%
13%
79%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -2 |