Colonial vs Academia Mascherano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colonial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
RIV
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
AJM
0 - 2
COL
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
COL
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
RIV
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Academia Mascherano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
AJM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
AJM
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
AJM
0 - 2
COL
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 1
AJM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AJM
1 - 3
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |