Colón II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
COL
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
COL
2 - 3
ATR
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
COL
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
NOB
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
BOC
5 - 1
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
GOC
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 1
VEL
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 3
VEL
17%
21%
62%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
EST
3 - 0
VEL
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 2
ARG
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |