Colón II vs River Plate II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
COL
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
ARG
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
COL
19%
21%
59%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 2
COL
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
6 - 0
GOC
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 2
RIV
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 1
RIV
11%
18%
71%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 3
RIV
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
ARG
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |