Colón II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 3
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SMS
1 - 0
COL
41%
23%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
COL
3 - 2
TAL
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 0
COL
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ALD
4 - 1
COL
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 1
RIV
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 0
PAT
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 4
SLO
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
PAT
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 0
GLP
24%
23%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |