Colón C-3 vs UMECIT II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
12º
11º
22
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
PCF
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +4 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
CDE
25%
19%
56%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
COL
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UMECIT II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SSM
7 - 0
UME
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UME
4 - 1
SMA
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +4 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
UME
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 60 | 37 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UME
2 - 1
CDP
10%
18%
72%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
UME
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |