Colón C-3 vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
63.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
12º
11º
22
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
COL
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SSM
4 - 1
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
ARA
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UME
1 - 0
COL
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
CHA
16%
23%
62%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UME
4 - 1
CEN
84%
11%
4%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
UME
63%
24%
14%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
AFM
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
UME
0 - 0
SSM
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UME
4 - 0
PCF
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |