Colón C-3 vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AZU
0 - 0
COL
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
NYC
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SUN
1 - 0
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MSM
3 - 1
COL
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
MSM
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TIE
0 - 7
RIO
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TIE
0 - 0
CHI
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 0
TIE
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AZU
2 - 1
TIE
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
DJU
0 - 1
TIE
10%
16%
75%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | +1 |