Colón C-3 vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
SUN
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
VER
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
COL
54%
24%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
TIE
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
TIE
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 5
MIL
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
TIE
4 - 3
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COS
3 - 1
TIE
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |