Colón C-3 vs Tierra Firme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COL
3 - 2
MSM
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
COL
1 - 7
SUN
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
ORI
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MSM
1 - 0
TIE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
TIE
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 1
TIE
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
TIE
1 - 2
SUN
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 0
CEN
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |