Colón C-3 vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
COL
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
COL
8%
17%
75%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
AZU
0 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VER
0 - 0
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
RIO
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
COL
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
OES
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
CEN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |