Colón C-3 vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MSM
2 - 1
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
OES
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
GEM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 3
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
TIE
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MSM
2 - 1
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 4
VIS
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OES
0 - 3
IND
33%
25%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IND
3 - 2
NYC
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |