Colón C-3 vs Potros del Este II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
56%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
12º
11º
17
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
COL
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
CDP
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 1
COL
76%
15%
8%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
UDP
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SSM
3 - 2
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Potros del Este II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 2
UDP
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
5 - 1
CDE
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UME
3 - 1
CDE
5%
10%
85%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 4
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |