Colón C-3 vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
MSM
1 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
SUN
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
COS
3 - 0
COL
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
SMA
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 2
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
OES
3 - 0
CEN
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 0
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
3 - 3
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MSM
1 - 2
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
2 - 2
SUN
33%
29%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |