Colón C-3 vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MSM
2 - 1
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
OES
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
GEM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 2
MSM
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
OES
0 - 1
CEN
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 0
CEN
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 0
RIO
45%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |