Colón C-3 vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
ORI
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
TIE
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COL
3 - 2
MSM
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
COL
1 - 7
SUN
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TIE
4 - 1
CEN
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
3 - 0
CEN
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
MSM
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |