Colón C-3 vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
ORI
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 2
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SUN
6 - 1
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
MSM
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 0
CEN
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
ORI
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
MSM
2 - 0
CEN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
5 - 2
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +3 |