Colón C-3 vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
45.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 0
COL
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
CHI
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SFF
1 - 1
COL
73%
18%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
AFC
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
COL
71%
18%
10%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 0
ARA
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 3
CHE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |