Colón C-3 vs Árabe Unido II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
12º
11º
20
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 37 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 20 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 8 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
COL
3 - 3
CEN
59%
19%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
UME
2 - 1
COL
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
COL
1 - 8
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
UME
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 4
ARA
20%
25%
56%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
CHA
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
SSM
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |