Colón C-3 vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
SMI
2 - 0
COL
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
AMA
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
25%
29%
47%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TAU
3 - 2
COL
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
AFC
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 0
SMI
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 3
AFC
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 4
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |