Colón C-3 vs Alianza II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
54.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
12º
11º
18
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 2
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PCF
5 - 1
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
COL
0 - 3
SMA
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
6 - 0
COL
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CEN
7 - 2
COL
23%
21%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
CEN
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHA
21%
24%
54%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UME
6 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 1
AFC
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 0
AFC
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |