Colombo vs Moragasmulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
REN
1 - 3
COL
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BLU
1 - 0
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
COL
3 - 1
NAV
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
MBS
2 - 1
COL
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
MBS
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |