Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 0
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 2
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ACS
2 - 1
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CSL
2 - 1
COL
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
COL
3 - 0
PAL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ANT
1 - 1
UCO
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 2
CUR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 2
SWA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |