Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
UCH
2 - 2
COL
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
IQU
3 - 2
COL
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -5 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
HUA
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +5 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SWA
0 - 2
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
4 - 0
CSL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +5 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -5 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
UCO
3 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
OHI
1 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |