Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
COL
38%
25%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
OHI
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
UNI
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
UCH
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
ULC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
SWA
1 - 2
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
UCH
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |