Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
COL
31%
26%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
COL
4 - 3
CDM
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CDP
0 - 3
COL
28%
26%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -3 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 3
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ANT
3 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 0
OHI
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
COL
3 - 0
UCO
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |