Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 2
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 2
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 0
HUA
18%
23%
58%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 3
PUE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
SWA
5 - 2
UCO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 0
ANT
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |