Colo-Colo vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
COL
4 - 2
NUB
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 0
COL
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
SWA
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COB
0 - 4
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 0
COL
65%
19%
15%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
HUA
12%
19%
68%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
NUB
0 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
USF
2 - 2
CON
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CON
4 - 2
DLS
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
EVE
0 - 1
CON
65%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |