Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Colo-Colo vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
COB
1 - 2
COL
16%
21%
63%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COL
2 - 0
UCH
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
SWA
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
COB
1 - 2
COL
16%
21%
63%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COB
0 - 0
CUR
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
COB
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
DLS
0 - 0
COB
28%
25%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COB
4 - 0
CSD
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |