Colo-Colo vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
COL
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
ULC
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 5
COL
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
ANT
0 - 1
COL
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 0
UTC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
RIV
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 2
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |