Colney Heath vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colney Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
3 - 1
COL
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
6 - 1
COL
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
WEL
2 - 1
COL
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
WAN
46%
21%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
KEM
6 - 1
COL
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
AFD
1 - 2
DID
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
AFD
2 - 2
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FCR
1 - 2
AFD
24%
24%
53%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AFD
1 - 2
AYL
51%
22%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 2
AFD
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |