Colmenar Oreja vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmenar Oreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
GRI
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 2
COL
45%
25%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
COL
0 - 3
LOE
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ARY
2 - 0
COL
43%
25%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
INT
1 - 1
COL
66%
20%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CDF
3 - 1
PAR
58%
23%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
GRI
1 - 1
CDF
39%
26%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CDF
0 - 0
ARA
52%
24%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDF
38%
26%
37%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDF
43%
26%
32%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |