AS Colmar-Berg vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
78.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
16º
14º
57
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Colmar-Berg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BER
5 - 0
COL
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
MER
6%
12%
81%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOS
3 - 2
COL
86%
9%
4%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FFN
1 - 0
COL
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
LOR
9 - 0
COL
89%
9%
2%
|
15 | 56 | 41 | -1 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 3
BAS
13%
17%
70%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BWM
2 - 1
BAS
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
ERP
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FEU
0 - 1
BAS
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |