Colmar vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
UZE
1 - 0
COL
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
LUS
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 2
COL
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
COL
3 - 2
FCR
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 2
BOU
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
SPI
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 2
AMI
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
1 - 1
USB
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 2
SPI
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |