Colmar II vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 2
COL
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
COL
4 - 0
MOR
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
4 - 3
COL
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COL
2 - 1
SAI
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BIE
1 - 1
COL
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
NAN
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NAN
5 - 0
ILL
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAN
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 0
SAR
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |