Colmar II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
COL
2 - 3
SAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 0
COL
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
COL
3 - 0
BIE
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 1
COL
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
COL
4 - 3
TRO
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 2
NAN
19%
22%
58%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
MET
23%
25%
53%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 3
ILL
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 3
SAR
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 1
ILL
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |