Colmar II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
COL
5 - 0
BSU
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
STP
3 - 1
COL
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
LUN
61%
20%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
THA
0 - 3
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
RCE
1 - 2
COL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 2
JAR
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 2
STP
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LUN
2 - 3
ILL
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ILL
1 - 0
RCE
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |