Colmar II vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAI
4 - 1
COL
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
JAR
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
SAI
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
COL
6 - 1
ILL
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
COL
5 - 0
BSU
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
ILL
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
THA
1 - 2
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
LUN
25%
24%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
RCE
3 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |