Colloto vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AST
1 - 4
COL
18%
24%
59%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
COV
32%
25%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
COL
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
TIN
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
UDL
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PCF
1 - 0
NAR
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NAR
4 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
URR
2 - 2
NAR
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 1
SMA
58%
23%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |