Colloto vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+246%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
COL
3 - 3
AST
24%
25%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
CUD
2 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 1
COL
74%
18%
8%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
COL
1 - 2
TAP
26%
25%
49%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
UPL
2 - 0
COL
75%
18%
7%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
NAR
1 - 1
MOS
32%
29%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NAI
1 - 1
NAR
75%
17%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 1
CAU
12%
26%
62%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
UNI
6 - 0
NAR
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NAR
0 - 3
AST
18%
27%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |