Colloto vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
NAI
3 - 0
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
COL
4 - 2
NAV
31%
27%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MOS
2 - 0
COL
37%
28%
36%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 1
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
COL
1 - 2
SLA
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 2
AVI
13%
24%
63%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MOS
1 - 2
NAR
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
DPT
2 - 1
NAR
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAR
1 - 1
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PCF
1 - 0
NAR
56%
25%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |