Collex-Bossy vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
STA
35%
23%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
USC
2 - 1
COL
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
COL
3 - 2
SBC
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CSC
4 - 3
COL
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
CHI
88%
9%
3%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
VER
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
FCL
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
USC
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SBC
2 - 2
FCL
57%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 2
CSC
55%
21%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |